War!? What is it good for?

[davywavy]

As I've mentioend before, I have a pal who is fairly highly placed in the Middle-East department of the Foreign Office. As there's a fiver on it, I asked him last night if there's gonna be a war, in his opinion.

His answer: "I think that we may see things begin to move in the next few days".

Bloody diplomats: they never answer the bleedin' question :)
So, I'm no wiser than before despite my highly plaved contacts: but it's nice to know that having signed the Official Secrets Act, he won't let anything slip. Just knowing him makes me feel more secure; there's nobody I can think of who I'd rather have on the phone to Baghdad, trying to sort this whole mess out.

Comments

Re:

[atrophy-angel.livejournal.com]

well, this bex is still scared... :(

the silver lining

[(Anonymous)]

Well, should it all fall apart after an invasion and the Yanks come and go (as I think it all will), the strife will be regional - it'll have very little violent impact on everyday people in GB or the US.

Also, I simply do not buy the whole Al Qaeda-Iraq connection allegation, and Saddam is not the sort who wins fantatical dedication from his own. For a militarist statesman, at least Hitler managed that much. :)

In the unravelling, the various factions will be too busy fighting eachother to bother with the American and Brits (unless they place themselves in the middle of it - and then it'll be soldiers, not civilians who will be taking the risk, in the main). Even if Iran invades (which I doubt, but some in the Pentagon doubtlessly imagine is probable), this'll be a regional problem - not global, per se.

We might not even be paying far higher energy costs even, since markets like military regimes/regimens who keep order...and if Iraq goes kaput, we can be sure that the US and UK will keep Gulf clear of piracy and Saudi & Kuwaiti fields will be protected