davywavy: (Default)
[personal profile] davywavy
I find it difficult to get worked up about politics these days. Back in the old days it was rare a day went by without the last government doing something like repealing the Magna Carta, my blood pressure spiking, and steam coming out of my ears making a noise like a train whistle, but these days I just can't bring myself to get worked up about the coalition. I've found it difficult to express why that is, but over the weekend I was watching Countryfile with a report about raw sewage being dumped into the sea, and a campaign group called "Surfers against sewage" who are complaining against it.
"So if the outflow pipes stop flowing does that mean the seawater becomes clean?" asked the presenter of a man in a wetsuit.
"No", was the reply. "The water is still filthy but at least there's no turds in it".

And that's kinda how I feel about politics at the moment.

Anyway, one of the things that a small but vocal minority of the political world has been getting all worked up about is one of the agreements in the coalition arrangement: specifically, a public referendum on a change to the voting system and the introduction of AV (Alternative voting).
Now you might think this would be something I'd get interested in. Despite my malaise as regards the current government, I'm still a political creature and the methods of selection of government - and the mandate from which they derive their authority - is a matter of considerable interest to me. However, the AV referendum has moved me not one bit. But why not?

In part it's due to the campagns being run. The Yes campaign does not seem to really have had any idea what it has been campaigning for and as a result it's been all over the place. On the one hand, I've been reassured that the change to AV is a small, incremental change that I needn't worry about. On the other hand, I've been told it's an important landmark of political change in the UK. I don't think it can be both of those things. The Yes campaign has also banged on about how the system guarantees 'fairer' votes, and as far as I'm concerned anyone using the word 'fair' in political debate deserves to be punched, good and hard, in the face. 'Fair' is one of the most debased words in modern politics, and from what I can make out literally translates as "I won't be any worse off, but someone I don't like will be". Telling me your system will make things 'fair' is a fast shorthand for telling me you aren't capable of making a coherent argument so you're going to use emotional blackmail instead. Don't do it.
On the other hand the No campaign has focussed on the fact that AV doesn't work very well and would be expensive, but if not spending lots of money on stuff which doesn't work very well was actually important then government policy on pretty much everything would be wildly different, so that's a non-argument.

What both campaigns have studiously avoided is the question of what voting and elections are for, and where power derives from. The power of the executive derives from the consent of the governed, and there's little evidence that since the introduction of universal suffrage this has not been the case in the UK, and no evidence at all that the majority are not content with this arrangement; in 2005 a government was formed with 35% of the vote and the electorate consented to this. The other constitutional argument for voting is that the purpose of elections is to provide stable government for a set period, and, once again, there's little evidence to suggest that FPTP does not do this. As such: a system of stable government which derives from the consent of the governed. The No campaign would have done well to point this out. The Yes campaign needed to work harder to demonstrate why it would achieve those things better than FPTP, which it hasn't.

I think one of the biggest problems the Yes campaign has had is that it has been largely a debate with it's own supporters. Many of the adverts and slogans I've seen from the Yes campaign have been either ill-spirited jibes at those who disagree with them or derived from an assumption of moral superiority over those who disagree (or are simply undecided). Neither of those things engage me. In fact, the Yes campaign has done more to alienate me than the No campaign has done to convince me. Both the yes and no campaigns have spent disproportionate amounts of time questioning the sources of each others funding without acknowledging the failings in their own (one largely finded by people who'll make large profits from the change, the other largely funded by people with a financial interest in the status quo) and I've found the hypocrisy on both sides offputting.

The problem is that coming out of the end of all of the incessant whining about the referendum I find that I couldn't give two beans about it. As a change it's incremental, probably meaningless and - perhaps most importantly - I'll make anyone a cash bet of up to a hundred quid here and now and that the result is going to be No anyway.
On the other hand, despite me not caring which way the vote goes, I do have a moral responsibility to vote which puts puts me in a quandry of what to do? After all, what did George Formby punch Hitler for if not to ensure I got to vote?

Anyway, after a lengthy chat with the she-David, we've come to what seems to us to be a good way to accomodate our moral responsibility to vote whilst simultaneously indicating that we neither of us care much either way about the outcome. One of us is going to vote yes and the other no, thereby cancelling each other out.

Works for me - and Yes fans? You've had a year to convince me. You've failed. I'm probably one of the most politically engaged people you know, and I. Don't. Care. Next time, try running a positive campaign rather than one which assumes you started out holding the moral high ground and you might do better.

Weird forum for expression this...

Date: 2011-05-03 10:10 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] vilenspotens.livejournal.com
*likes* ;-P

Can't remember who said it, but "If you have no strong feelings towards the job your leaders are doing in any way, then they are probably doing an adequate job."

yeah, it's like facebook never happened, innit?

Date: 2011-05-03 10:15 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] davywavy.livejournal.com
Compared to the last administration, adequate is perfectly acceptable round here. It's an improvement of an order of magnitude.

One thing which has really caused me to take against the Yes campaign is that a lot of the pro-yes people are the same people who back in '05-'06 were telling me that we weren't going to have that economic crash I was predicting. Have to question that judgement there, guys.

What's facebook?

Date: 2011-05-03 10:20 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] vilenspotens.livejournal.com
I'll leave my judgements on the previous government in my head. And on people questioning it... People yell at me when I talk about them in any seriousness :P

this may amuse you:
http://prodicus.blogspot.com/2011/05/why-aye-man.html

Re: What's facebook?

Date: 2011-05-03 12:54 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] davywavy.livejournal.com
"I'll leave my judgements on the previous government in my head."

That's a first.

*laughs*

Date: 2011-05-03 01:22 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] vilenspotens.livejournal.com
True, but I got wary of where I post my opinions after the abuse I was getting, so now I keep it mildly humerous if possible, or on my own FB when I rant, which has a handy delete key :P

Re: *laughs*

Date: 2011-05-03 01:24 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] davywavy.livejournal.com
The only person who ever really spat abuse round here was Grim, and he threw his toys out of his pram and said I wasn't his internet friend any more over a year ago.

Bless him: he thinks he can dish it out, but he's physically incapable of taking it.

Re: *laughs*

Date: 2011-05-03 01:28 pm (UTC)

Date: 2011-05-03 10:23 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] belak-krin.livejournal.com
I think an awful lot of the AV debate can be boiled down to:

Would you prefer a government that the most people asked for or the least people objected to?

Date: 2011-05-03 10:31 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] davywavy.livejournal.com
No, most of the AV debate can be boiled down to:
"Our way is better!"
"No, our way is"
"Well you're funded by teh ev1lxxor toriezz"
"Well you're funded by people who sell AV voting machines!"
"That's better than you"
"No, we're better than you."
"Our way is fair."
"No, ours is"
"Ner."
"Ner."

From an external perspective, it's been downright ****ing pathetic.

Date: 2011-05-03 10:55 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] robinbloke.livejournal.com
That's like reading the comments section on the BBC website rather than looking up the details of the story for yourself from a reliable source.

What this has taught me if nothing else is that there needs to be some kind of authority that can deal with any claims that are made in advertising campaigns of this nature, the adverts (from both sides) have no means of quality control; the ASA has no authority as it's "outside their remit" and the Electoral Commission refuses to get involved either, which means either side can claim whatever they want and produce outlandish adverts and claim that FPTP increases your sexual prowess while AV can cure all known cancers or whatever they want without fear of censorship or reprisal, hence the farce we've been witness to.

I think [livejournal.com profile] belak_krin summed it up nicely, personally; the two systems are pretty simple to understand.


Edited Date: 2011-05-03 10:56 am (UTC)

Date: 2011-05-03 10:58 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] davywavy.livejournal.com
The two systems are simple, and frankly, it'd not make one jot of difference which one we used. As the change is so small and incremental the arguments have relied upon emotion rather than anything like inconveniently having to explain why or why not.

That's about the point the matchsticks holding my eyelids open broke and I gave up on the whole thing.

Date: 2011-05-03 11:07 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] robinbloke.livejournal.com
I'd disagree that it'd not make a jot of difference which system we used, there are 29-odd MP's that would lose their seat under AV (apparently (http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/av/revealed-the-29-antireform-mps-who-would-lose-their-seats-under-the-av-system-2277683.html)) for a start.

I do agree that the appeals to emotion are rather senseless, but I put that down to the lack of control in advertising and trying to galvanise a generally apathetic voter lot who don't appreciate what a vote means in the first place, let alone how it is cast; I'm with you on getting in the Aussie system there.

Date: 2011-05-03 11:09 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] davywavy.livejournal.com
I'm wary of projecting things onto alternative universes. I think all we can agree on is that if the world were a different place then the world would be a different place.

However, if we're changing the electoral system then yes, compulsory voting would be a far better start than AV.

Date: 2011-05-03 01:03 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
says the guy who let Martin Linton in in 2005 by a 161 majority

H

Date: 2011-05-03 01:07 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] davywavy.livejournal.com
That 160 majority he had in an alternate universe would have made all the difference :P

Date: 2011-05-03 02:07 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
I should have escorted you down to the Polling Station, like Grandma Giles with Vera

H

Date: 2011-05-03 10:39 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Compulsory voting? How very authoritarian of you.

Personally, my one reform would be the addition of a "None of the Above" option at the bottom of the ballot paper.

Date: 2011-05-04 11:08 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] davywavy.livejournal.com
It exhibits itself in us all at times. Like I say above: George Formby punched Hitler on the nose so we could vote, and I've no problem with fining people who don't in the Aussie manner.

Date: 2011-05-05 02:13 pm (UTC)
matgb: Artwork of 19th century upper class anarchist, text: MatGB (Default)
From: [personal profile] matgb
FWIW, I used to agree with that, but have completely changed my view. For starters, it might make more people drop off the electoral register (3 of my neighbours couldn't signt he form because they're not registered, one's a long term succesfull businessman FFS) so you'd need ID cards to make it work, which, y'know, somewhat opposed to.

But more importantly, as a candidate, it's my job to motivate people and give them something worth voting for--if people don't care enough to get you elected, that's your fault. If people feel so disengaged they don't feel it makes a difference, that's all our faults.

Combine that with the massive correlation between safe seats and low turnout (both in council and parliamentary elections), and I'd rather deal with other issues.

Plus, I've seen donkey voting in a few places, and if you make people vote some of them will just vote for the top on the ballot, or randomly.

Date: 2011-05-03 11:57 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] raggedyman.livejournal.com
tricky one to prove as they could have won those seats anyway by mobilizing more voters. Never forget that there is a sizable portion of people who don't vote because they know that the constituency they are in will always return the candidate of the party that they support.

Date: 2011-05-03 06:07 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] davegodfrey.livejournal.com
And there's a fairly sizeable contingent who don't vote because they know the constituency will always return the candidate they don't support. And yet if you added up all the votes of the people who don't support that candidate then the seat would look a lot less safe. Doesn't mean that the result would change considerably, but the kind of campaign you run might be rather different.

Date: 2011-05-03 11:52 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] raggedyman.livejournal.com
I have to agree that the campaigning, from both sides, has been piss weak and far to negative.
(deleted comment)

Re: AV voting machines?

Date: 2011-05-04 12:14 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] rssefuirosu.livejournal.com
It won't. Paper ballots will be used and counted by hand. File under No campaign bullshit.
(deleted comment)

Re: AV voting machines?

Date: 2011-05-04 09:40 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] rssefuirosu.livejournal.com
Fair enough. I have no real issue with people voting No for that reason, as that's a failure of the Yes campaign. My main reason for voting Yes is that it will reduce the number of safe seats and stop twats being parachuted into them so they can have cushy cabinet/shadow cabinet positions.

Re: AV voting machines?

Date: 2011-05-04 08:44 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] davywavy.livejournal.com
My understanding was that the ERC were funding the Yes campaign as they stood to make a big pile of loot from the sale of counting machines. is this not the case?

Re: AV voting machines?

Date: 2011-05-04 09:38 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] rssefuirosu.livejournal.com
It categorically is not. The ERC is funding the campaign because they are the most flush wing of the ERS and can donate more easily for tax purposes, which is perfectly sensible to me. There are no machines needed whatsoever, and IIRC there have been statements from clerks who would be doing the counting to state as much.

Re: AV voting machines?

Date: 2011-05-05 02:17 pm (UTC)
matgb: Artwork of 19th century upper class anarchist, text: MatGB (Default)
From: [personal profile] matgb
No.

ERC were created by the Electoral Reform Society in order to raise money to campaign for electoral reform. A company owned by a membership organisation setup to campaign for electoral reform donates its profits to electoral reform campaigning.

It's basically like being surprised a Catholic diocese gives money to anti-abortion campaigns or similar, it's what they do.

There is no need for counting machines, I can, and have, hand counted AV ballos easily, the Electoral Commission has categorically stated this to be untrue. Besides which, they use FPTP in the US, and a lot of States there use counting machines.

Date: 2011-05-03 11:26 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
I'd have thought the FPTP debaters would have favoured a sort of confrontational, advocacy-based debate, and the AV campaigners would have gone for a more sort of compromise, weighted nuance sort of approach?

H

Date: 2011-05-03 11:30 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] davywavy.livejournal.com
From experience, and as a general rule, AV campaigners call you stupid if you don't agree with them and shout about fairness, whilst FPTP campaigners go on about tradition and britishness.

I'm not sure what this indicates beyond tribalism.

Date: 2011-05-03 11:55 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] raggedyman.livejournal.com
In the name of balance I would like to point out that the FPTP campaigners were also engaged in the 'your stupid' name calling by claiming that the public would never be able to understand AV. But when both parties are using negative campaigning it becomes difficult to give a crap over who made the first shout.

Date: 2011-05-03 11:57 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] davywavy.livejournal.com
And that's the final outcome; understand, but don't care. You might want to have a word with the people you support.

Date: 2011-05-03 11:57 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ukmonty.livejournal.com
Mind you it has had the short bald yorkist and reid on the same platform!

Date: 2011-05-03 11:59 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] davywavy.livejournal.com
I think Pickles and Reid cancel each other out like protons and anti-protons.

Date: 2011-05-04 10:44 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] rssefuirosu.livejournal.com
On my side of the fence (reasonably non-condescending Yes voter) I have been struck repeatedly by how priggish and "la la la can't hear you" No advocates have been, and ready to start throwing lies and insults around. This prejudiced me towards anyone planning to vote No, and I did my best to stick to facts and meet the other side of the debate honourably, but to be honest I gave up at times through sheer hair-pulling frustration.

The entire mess has just degraded into a swamp of treacle; nobody is going to come out of it without looking covered in doo-doo and tarnishing everything they touch. If it comes back No, as I'm starting to suspect it will, I'll be completely disenfranchised with politics until the LibDems walk from the Coalition; if they don't then they are utterly useless wimps. Chris Hughne took a level in badass (http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/TookALevelInBadass) during this campaign and I'd like to see him have another shot at a leadersship bid, or just split the Liberals from the Democrats.

PS: To hell with Labour, Reid is the best reminder anyone could have of the broken reform promise from '97.

Date: 2011-05-03 06:18 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] davegodfrey.livejournal.com
I'm of the opinion that AV won't change things that much, other than to make it a bit easier to get rid of really unpopular MPs (you won't have to rely on Martin Bell being given a free run by the opposition for instance). What I think it will do is pave the way for some form of PR. A couple of elections under AV should hopefully convince the powers that be that the Great British Public can count to five, and put things in order of preference. And maybe then we'll be allowed a system that sensible countries use.

I'm not holding out much hope that it'll happen though...

Date: 2011-05-03 06:40 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ophiuchus.livejournal.com
I've wanted a new voting system ever since I've been able to vote.

I don't think that AV's great but the fact that a candidate cannot win without the support of at least half their constituents is the main reasson I'm voting for it.

This also illustrates my main problem with the current system. I don't really want to vote for AV but it is the only way to vote against FPTP.
(deleted comment)

Date: 2011-05-04 10:35 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ophiuchus.livejournal.com
Well if they had someone worth voting for then I might be bothered to get off my fat, lazy arse and go to the polling station.

But as it is I don't support the tory party or the labour party so there isn't really any point in me going along to the polling station is there?

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